Elections Intelligence

Pedro Antonio Casas

CA-38U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Casas is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Casas at 3.4¢ against Solis's 99.5¢, down 1.6¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Casas · Republican contract
3.4¢
▼ 1.6¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Pedro Antonio Casas by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 6¢ · low 1.7¢Oct 12
Pedro Antonio CasasRepublican
3.4¢
Hilda SolisDemocratic
99.5¢

2,447 traded · 2,163 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Casas v Solis

Metric by metric
Casas
Solis
3.4¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
99.5¢
No total for Pedro Antonio Casas: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.05M
—
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$154.5K
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

California 38th District
Prior result
D+19.6

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Linda T. Sánchez.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.