PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / ILLINOIS

Paul Nolley

Democratic · House challenger

CHALLENGER ON THE 2026 BALLOT SAFE R — AGAINST THE CANDIDATE KALSHI · 9.4¢ · CHECKED Aug 27

THE 2026 RACE · ILLINOIS 16TH DISTRICTFull race page →

OPPONENTDarin LaHood (R)Incumbent

FTP RACE SIGNALSafe RAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating

KALSHI · Aug 27R 95.9¢ · D 9.4¢

LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race

STANDING · THIS SEAT

1:9fundraising ratio v LaHood · FEC period 06-30

CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30

$415.7Kraised

$230.1Kcash on hand

· LaHood: $3.67M / $6.75M CoH

BALLOT & DATES

Primary03-17 · HELD

GeneralNov 3, 2026

R settled · D settled