Nick Manganaro · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Manganaro is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Manganaro at 2.6¢ against Scanlon's 98.5¢, down 0.8¢ since August 3. Scanlon leads 106.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Manganaro · Republican contract

2.6¢

▼ 0.8¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Nick Manganaro by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 8.3¢ · low 1.8¢Oct 12

Nick ManganaroRepublican

2.6¢

Mary Gay ScanlonDemocratic · incumbent

98.5¢

1,899 traded · 1,419 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Manganaro v Scanlon

Metric by metric

Manganaro

Scanlon

2.6¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

98.5¢

$9.3K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$990.6K

$5.9K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$448.6K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2018

The 2026 race

Pennsylvania 5th District

Prior result

D+30.6

2024 general election, won by Mary Gay Scanlon.

Fundraising

106.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.