Elections Intelligence

Mitch Clemmons

CA-41U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Clemmons is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Clemmons at 4.3¢ against Sánchez's 97.5¢, up 0.9¢ since August 3. Sánchez leads 937.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Clemmons · Republican contract
4.3¢
▲ 0.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Mitch Clemmons by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 9¢ · low 2.3¢Oct 12
Mitch ClemmonsRepublican
4.3¢
Linda T. SánchezDemocratic
97.5¢

10,639 traded · 4,497 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Clemmons v Sánchez

Metric by metric
Clemmons
Sánchez
4.3¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
97.5¢
$1.7K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.60M
$1.7K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$415.7K
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2003

The 2026 race

California 41st District
Prior result
R+3.4

2024 general election · a different district with this number, won by Ken Calvert.

Fundraising
937.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.