Elections Intelligence

Michael Roger Minogue

MAGovernor: G under a starred pediment
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Minogue is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Minogue at 5.7¢ against Healey's 94.9¢, down 3.3¢ since July 31. The polling average has Healey ahead by 19.3 points, and Healey leads 4.1 to 1 on cash.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Minogue · Republican contract
5.7¢
▼ 3.3¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Michael Roger Minogue by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 9¢ · low 4.2¢Oct 12
Michael Roger MinogueRepublican
5.7¢
Maura HealeyDemocratic · incumbent
94.9¢

1,011,698 traded · 852,251 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Minogue v Healey

Metric by metric
Minogue
Healey
5.7¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
94.9¢
$1.52M
Cash on handState filings, through September 30
$6.28M
32%
Latest pollMassINC · Sep 22
54%
No office on file
Holds now
Governor of Massachusettssince 2023

The 2026 race

Massachusetts Governor
Polling average
D+19.3

Average of 3 pollsters, August 12 to September 22.

Prior result
D+29.1

2022 general election, won by Maura Healey.

Fundraising
4.1 to 1

Cash on hand, September 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.