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PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / NEW JERSEY
Michael P. McGuire
Republican · House challenger
CHALLENGER
ON THE 2026 BALLOT
SAFE D — AGAINST THE CANDIDATE
KALSHI ·
7.6¢
· CHECKED
Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · NEW JERSEY 3RD DISTRICT
Full race page →
OPPONENT
Herbert C. Conaway, Jr. (D)
Incumbent
FTP RACE SIGNAL
Safe D
AI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI ·
Aug 27
D 97.9¢ · R 7.6¢
LATEST POLL
Not yet collected
no qualifying public poll retrieved for this race
STANDING · THIS SEAT
1:12
fundraising ratio v Conaway · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FEC
PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$79.2K
raised
$807
cash on hand
FRIENDS OF MICHAEL MCGUIRE ↗
· Conaway: $934.7K / $439.3K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary
06-02 · HELD
General
Nov 3, 2026
D settled · R settled · G settled · other settled
COMPARE V CONAWAY ⇄