Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / NEW JERSEY

Michael P. McGuire

Republican · House challenger
CHALLENGER ON THE 2026 BALLOT SAFE D — AGAINST THE CANDIDATE KALSHI · 7.6¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · NEW JERSEY 3RD DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTHerbert C. Conaway, Jr. (D)Incumbent
FTP RACE SIGNALSafe DAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27D 97.9¢ · R 7.6¢
LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race
STANDING · THIS SEAT
1:12fundraising ratio v Conaway · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$79.2Kraised
$807cash on hand
· Conaway: $934.7K / $439.3K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary06-02 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
D settled · R settled · G settled · other settled
COMPARE V CONAWAY ⇄