Melissa Hernandez
CA-14Every candidate on the November ballot is a Democrat, so the seat cannot change party. The FTP Race Signal reads the seat; the Kalshi figure is Hernandez's own contract.
What the Signal reads
Safe D
Hernandez is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Hernandez at 15¢ against Wahab's 86¢, up 5¢ since August 3. Hernandez leads 2.2 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Hernandez · Democratic contract
15.0¢
▲ 5.0¢since August 3
54,926 traded · 23,555 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Hernandez v Wahab
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
California 14th DistrictPrior result
D+35.6
2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Eric Swalwell.
Fundraising
2.2 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through September 7.