Melissa Claire Strange · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Strange is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Strange at 4.2¢ against Gallrein's 96.1¢, down 1.7¢ since August 3. Gallrein leads 37.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Strange · Democratic contract

4.2¢

▼ 1.7¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Melissa Claire Strange by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 8.9¢ · low 1.4¢Oct 12

Melissa Claire StrangeDemocratic

4.2¢

Ed GallreinRepublican

96.1¢

42,122 traded · 15,759 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Strange v Gallrein

Metric by metric

Strange

Gallrein

4.2¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

96.1¢

$94.5K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$3.57M

$11.1K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$179.3K

No office on file

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Kentucky 4th District

Prior result

R+99.2

2024 general election, won by Thomas Massie.

Fundraising

37.7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.