Maurice Mercer · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Mercer is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Mercer at 3.6¢ against Palmer's 97.6¢, down 1.4¢ since August 3. Palmer leads 161.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Mercer · Democratic contract

3.6¢

▼ 1.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Maurice Mercer by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 8¢ · low 3¢Oct 12

Maurice MercerDemocratic

3.6¢

Gary J. PalmerRepublican · incumbent

97.6¢

2,248 traded · 1,679 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Mercer v Palmer

Metric by metric

Mercer

Palmer

3.6¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.6¢

$6.5K

RaisedFEC, through June 30 and July 22

$1.05M

$1.9K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30 and July 22

$260.7K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2015

The 2026 race

Alabama 6th District

Prior result

R+40.8

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Gary J. Palmer.

Fundraising

161.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.