Elections Intelligence

Maura Healey

MAGovernor: G under a starred pediment
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Healey is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Healey at 94.9¢ against Minogue's 5.7¢, up 1.6¢ since July 31. The polling average has Healey ahead by 19.3 points, and Healey leads 4.1 to 1 on cash.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Healey · Democratic contract
94.9¢
▲ 1.6¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Maura Healey by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 98¢ · low 93.3¢Oct 12
Maura HealeyDemocratic · incumbent
94.9¢
Michael Roger MinogueRepublican
5.7¢

1,011,698 traded · 852,251 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Healey v Minogue

Metric by metric
Healey
Minogue
94.9¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
5.7¢
$6.28M
Cash on handState filings, through September 30
$1.52M
54%
Latest pollMassINC · Sep 22
32%
Governor of Massachusettssince 2023
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Massachusetts Governor
Polling average
D+19.3

Average of 3 pollsters, August 12 to September 22.

Prior result
D+29.1

2022 general election, won by Maura Healey.

Fundraising
4.1 to 1

Cash on hand, September 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.