Elections Intelligence

Marquita Bradshaw

TNU.S. Senate S architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe R to Likely R Underdog
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What the Signal reads

Likely R

Bradshaw is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Bradshaw at 7.4¢ against Hagerty's 92.7¢, up 3.9¢ since July 31. The polling average has Hagerty ahead by 20 points, and Hagerty leads 3173.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Bradshaw · Democratic contract
7.4¢
▲ 3.9¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Marquita Bradshaw by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 8.2¢ · low 1.8¢Oct 12
Marquita BradshawDemocratic
7.4¢
Bill HagertyRepublican · incumbent
92.7¢

368,655 traded · 322,326 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Bradshaw v Hagerty

Metric by metric
Bradshaw
Hagerty
7.4¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
92.7¢
$2.3K
RaisedFEC, through July 17
$7.16M
$1.0K
Cash on handFEC, through July 17
$5.23M
31%
Latest pollTargoz · Aug 26
51%
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Senatorsince 2021

The 2026 race

Tennessee U.S. Senate
Latest poll
R+20

Targoz, August 26.

Prior result
R+27.0

2020 general election, won by Bill Hagerty.

Fundraising
3173.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 17.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.