Elections Intelligence

Maria Jukic

OH-14U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe R Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Jukic is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Jukic at 7.6¢ against Joyce's 96.6¢, up 1¢ since August 3. Joyce leads 22.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Jukic · Democratic contract
7.6¢
▲ 1.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Maria Jukic by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 8¢ · low 1.3¢Oct 12
Maria JukicDemocratic
7.6¢
David P. JoyceRepublican · incumbent
96.6¢

5,981 traded · 2,248 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Jukic v Joyce

Metric by metric
Jukic
Joyce
7.6¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
96.6¢
$61.7K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.41M
$33.7K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$3.12M
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2013

The 2026 race

Ohio 14th District
Prior result
R+26.8

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by David P. Joyce.

Fundraising
22.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.