Mai Vang
CA-7Every candidate on the November ballot is a Democrat, so the seat cannot change party. The FTP Race Signal reads the seat; the Kalshi figure is Vang's own contract.
What the Signal reads
Safe D
Vang is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Vang at 43¢ against Matsui's 59¢, down 11¢ since August 3. Matsui leads 2.9 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Vang · Democratic contract
43.0¢
▼ 11.0¢since August 3
46,198 traded · 26,488 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Vang v Matsui
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
California 7th DistrictLatest poll
Vang +4
Data for Progress, WFP, Justice Democrats and Leaders We Deserve sponsor, August 21.
Prior result
D+33.6
2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Doris O. Matsui.
Fundraising
2.9 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.