Elections Intelligence

Loran Ayles

OR-3U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Ayles is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Ayles at 1.8¢ against Dexter's 98.2¢, down 1.2¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Ayles · Republican contract
1.8¢
▼ 1.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Loran Ayles by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 5.6¢ · low 1.8¢Oct 12
Loran AylesRepublican
1.8¢
Maxine DexterDemocratic · incumbent
98.2¢

565 traded · 501 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Ayles v Dexter

Metric by metric
Ayles
Dexter
1.8¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
98.2¢
No total for Loran Ayles: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.04M
—
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$173.7K
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2025

The 2026 race

Oregon 3rd District
Prior result
D+42.5

2024 general election, won by Maxine Dexter.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.