Elections Intelligence

Larry Davis III

LA-6U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe R to Likely R Likely to win
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Davis is a Republican candidate for an open seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market prices a Republican win of the seat, a flip from Democratic, at 93.8¢, a price on the party and not on Davis. Miguez leads 12.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

No price is quoted on this candidate: no contract on this candidate in the market.

Democratic lineNo candidate is named on this contract.
6.1¢
Republican lineNo candidate is named on this contract.
93.8¢
Chauna BanksDemocratic
no contract on this candidate in the market
Patrick "Pat" ForbesDemocratic
no contract on this candidate in the market
Lindsay "Rubia" GarciaDemocratic
no contract on this candidate in the market
Rufus CraigLibertarian
no contract on this candidate in the market
Monique AppeaningRepublican
no contract on this candidate in the market
Larry Davis IIIRepublican
no contract on this candidate in the market
Rick EdmondsRepublican
no contract on this candidate in the market
Michael MebruerRepublican
no contract on this candidate in the market
Blake MiguezRepublican
no contract on this candidate in the market
Stephen WagleyRepublican
no contract on this candidate in the market

38,489 traded · 8,572 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Davis v Miguez

Metric by metric
Davis
Miguez
No filing on file for Larry Davis III with the Federal Election Commission.
RaisedFEC, through July 18
$6.61M
—
Cash on handFEC, through July 18
$2.03M
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Louisiana 6th District
Prior result
D+13.1

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Cleo Fields.

Fundraising
12.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 18.

The open primary is on November 3, which is 22 days away. If no one tops 50%, the top two meet on December 12.