Kristi Burke · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Burke is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Burke at 2¢ against Harshbarger's 99.6¢, down 1¢ since August 3. Harshbarger leads 12.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Burke · Democratic contract

2.0¢

▼ 1.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Kristi Burke by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 8¢ · low 2¢Oct 12

Kristi BurkeDemocratic

2.0¢

Diana HarshbargerRepublican · incumbent

99.6¢

1,343 traded · 1,242 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Burke v Harshbarger

Metric by metric

Burke

Harshbarger

2.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

99.6¢

$102.0K

RaisedFEC, through July 17

$1.27M

$14.1K

Cash on handFEC, through July 17

$1.99M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2021

The 2026 race

Tennessee 1st District

Prior result

R+58.7

2024 general election, won by Diana Harshbarger.

Fundraising

12.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 17.