Elections Intelligence

Kimberly Overman

FL-12U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Likely R Underdog
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Overman is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Overman at 13¢ against Bilirakis's 89¢, unchanged since August 3. Bilirakis leads 8.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Overman · Democratic contract
13.0¢
Unchangedsince August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Kimberly Overman by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 17¢ · low 9.9¢Oct 12
Kimberly OvermanDemocratic
13.0¢
Gus M. BilirakisRepublican · incumbent
89.0¢

11,945 traded · 7,183 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Overman v Bilirakis

Metric by metric
Overman
Bilirakis
13.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
89.0¢
$186.8K
RaisedFEC, through July 29
$1.59M
$4.9K
Cash on handFEC, through July 29
$554.1K
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2007

The 2026 race

Florida 12th District
Prior result
R+42.1

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Gus M. Bilirakis.

Fundraising
8.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 29.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.