Kevin Lincoln · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Lincoln is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Lincoln at 4.7¢ against Gray's 96.5¢, down 4.6¢ since July 31. Gray leads 1.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Lincoln · Republican contract

4.7¢

▼ 4.6¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Kevin Lincoln by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 10¢ · low 2.9¢Oct 12

Kevin LincolnRepublican

4.7¢

Adam GrayDemocratic · incumbent

96.5¢

30,413 traded · 11,655 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Lincoln v Gray

Metric by metric

Lincoln

Gray

4.7¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

96.5¢

$2.22M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$4.19M

$837.9K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$2.07M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2025

The 2026 race

California 13th District

Prior result

D+0.0

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Adam Gray.

Fundraising

1.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.