Kaylee Peterson
ID-1What the Signal reads
Safe R
Peterson is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Peterson at 2.3¢ against Fulcher's 98.7¢, down 1.7¢ since August 3. The polling average has Fulcher ahead by 16.5 points, and Fulcher leads 3.6 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Peterson · Democratic contract
2.3¢
▼ 1.7¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Kaylee Peterson by name.
894 traded · 560 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Peterson v Fulcher
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Idaho 1st DistrictPolling average
R+16.5
Average of 2 pollsters, July 14 to July 30.
Prior result
R+45.5
2024 general election, won by Russ Fulcher.
Fundraising
3.6 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.