Kathy Hochul
NYWhat the Signal reads
Safe D
Hochul is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Hochul at 95.3¢ against Blakeman's 5.4¢, up 2¢ since July 31. The polling average has Hochul ahead by 11.5 points, and Blakeman leads 1.1 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Hochul · Democratic contract
95.3¢
▲ 2.0¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Kathy Hochul by name.
2,260,879 traded · 1,810,107 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Hochul v Blakeman
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
New York GovernorPolling average
D+11.5
Average of 5 pollsters, September 17 to October 5.
Prior result
D+6.4
2022 general election, won by Kathy Hochul.
Fundraising
1.1 to 1
Raised, through July 11.