Kailee Marie Buller · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Buller is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Buller at 3.9¢ against Mannion's 95.8¢, down 4¢ since August 3. Mannion leads 10 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Buller · Republican contract

3.9¢

▼ 4.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Kailee Marie Buller by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 29¢ · low 3.9¢Oct 12

Kailee Marie BullerRepublican

3.9¢

John W. MannionDemocratic · incumbent

95.8¢

14,733 traded · 12,077 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Buller v Mannion

Metric by metric

Buller

Mannion

3.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

95.8¢

$267.3K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$2.69M

$186.6K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$1.84M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2025

The 2026 race

New York 22nd District

Prior result

D+9.1

2024 general election, won by John W. Mannion.

Fundraising

10 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.