Joy A. Powers · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Powers is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Powers at 3.6¢ against Griffith's 98.1¢, down 2.9¢ since August 3. Griffith leads 21.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Powers · Democratic contract

3.6¢

▼ 2.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Joy A. Powers by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 9.5¢ · low 3.6¢Oct 12

Joy A. PowersDemocratic

3.6¢

H. Morgan GriffithRepublican · incumbent

98.1¢

8,498 traded · 2,735 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Powers v Griffith

Metric by metric

Powers

Griffith

3.6¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

98.1¢

$85.3K

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$1.83M

$13.9K

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$973.9K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2011

The 2026 race

Virginia 9th District

Prior result

R+45.2

2024 general election, won by H. Morgan Griffith.

Fundraising

21.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.