John McBride
CA-9What the Signal reads
Safe D
McBride is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has McBride at 2.1¢ against Harder's 98.8¢, down 1.1¢ since August 3. Harder leads 135.2 to 1 in money raised.
The market
McBride · Republican contract
2.1¢
▼ 1.1¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on John McBride by name.
5,147 traded · 3,602 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
McBride v Harder
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
California 9th DistrictPrior result
D+3.6
2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Josh Harder.
Fundraising
135.2 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.