Elections Intelligence

John Day

LA-3U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe R Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Day is a Democratic candidate for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market prices a Democratic win of the seat, a flip from Republican, at 2.6¢, a price on the party and not on Day.

The market

Kalshi ↗

No price is quoted on this candidate: no contract on this candidate in the market.

Democratic lineNo candidate is named on this contract.
2.6¢
Republican lineNo candidate is named on this contract.
98.0¢
John DayDemocratic
no contract on this candidate in the market
Priscilla GonzalezDemocratic
no contract on this candidate in the market
Caleb WalkerDemocratic
no contract on this candidate in the market
Tia LeBrunNP
no contract on this candidate in the market
Kate CottenRepublican
no contract on this candidate in the market
Clay HigginsRepublican
no contract on this candidate in the market

4,258 traded · 3,111 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Day v Higgins

Metric by metric
Day
Higgins
No filing on file for John Day with the Federal Election Commission.
RaisedFEC, through July 18
$822.8K
—
Cash on handFEC, through July 18
$595.4K
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2017

The 2026 race

Louisiana 3rd District
Prior result
R+51.9

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Clay Higgins.

The open primary is on November 3, which is 22 days away. If no one tops 50%, the top two meet on December 12.