Joe Hathaway · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Hathaway is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Hathaway at 4.1¢ against Mejia's 97.9¢, up 0.6¢ since August 3. Mejia leads 2.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Hathaway · Republican contract

4.1¢

▲ 0.6¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Joe Hathaway by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 7¢ · low 3.5¢Oct 12

Joe HathawayRepublican

4.1¢

Analilia MejiaDemocratic · incumbent

97.9¢

17,608 traded · 4,758 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Hathaway v Mejia

Metric by metric

Hathaway

Mejia

4.1¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.9¢

$657.7K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$1.82M

$5.0K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$27.5K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2026

The 2026 race

New Jersey 11th District

Prior result

D+13.0

2024 general election, won by Mikie Sherrill.

Fundraising

2.7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.