Jerry Carl · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Carl is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Carl at 98.1¢ against Jones's 3.4¢, up 2.6¢ since August 3. Carl leads 13.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Carl · Republican contract

98.1¢

▲ 2.6¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Jerry Carl by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99¢ · low 95.5¢Oct 12

Jerry CarlRepublican

98.1¢

Clyde W. Jones, Jr.Democratic

3.4¢

2,688 traded · 933 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Carl v Jones

Metric by metric

Carl

Jones

98.1¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.4¢

$1.16M

RaisedFEC, through July 22

$86.0K

$366.6K

Cash on handFEC, through July 22

$28.0K

No office on file

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Alabama 1st District

Prior result

R+56.9

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Barry Moore.

Fundraising

13.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.