Jerrad Christian · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Christian is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Christian at 4.9¢ against Balderson's 96.8¢, down 5.1¢ since August 3. Balderson leads 20.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Christian · Democratic contract

4.9¢

▼ 5.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Jerrad Christian by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 10¢ · low 3.9¢Oct 12

Jerrad ChristianDemocratic

4.9¢

Troy BaldersonRepublican · incumbent

96.8¢

9,051 traded · 2,465 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Christian v Balderson

Metric by metric

Christian

Balderson

4.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

96.8¢

$84.4K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$1.74M

$18.9K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$1.98M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2018

The 2026 race

Ohio 12th District

Prior result

R+37.0

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Troy Balderson.

Fundraising

20.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.