Elections Intelligence

Jeffrey Hulum III

MS-4U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe R Long shot
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What the Signal reads

Safe R

Hulum is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Hulum at 2.6¢ against Ezell's 99.1¢, down 0.5¢ since August 3. Ezell leads 34 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Hulum · Democratic contract
2.6¢
▼ 0.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Jeffrey Hulum III by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 5.9¢ · low 2.6¢Oct 12
Jeffrey Hulum IIIDemocratic
2.6¢
Mike EzellRepublican · incumbent
99.1¢

10,631 traded · 1,983 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Hulum v Ezell

Metric by metric
Hulum
Ezell
2.6¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
99.1¢
$29.0K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$990.1K
$6.5K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$123.4K
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2023

The 2026 race

Mississippi 4th District
Prior result
R+47.9

2024 general election, won by Mike Ezell.

Fundraising
34 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.