Elections Intelligence

Jeff Walter

IL-11U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Walter is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Walter at 3.6¢ against Foster's 97.6¢, down 3.4¢ since August 3. Foster leads 7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Walter · Republican contract
3.6¢
▼ 3.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Jeff Walter by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 8.1¢ · low 3.5¢Oct 12
Jeff WalterRepublican
3.6¢
Bill FosterDemocratic · incumbent
97.6¢

1,170 traded · 1,170 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Walter v Foster

Metric by metric
Walter
Foster
3.6¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
97.6¢
$311.4K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$2.18M
$22.8K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$2.51M
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2013

The 2026 race

Illinois 11th District
Prior result
50.7 to 37.1

Evans won 50.7% to 37.1% over another Republican (2024).

Fundraising
7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.