Jason Gibbs · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Gibbs is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Gibbs at 3.6¢ against Whitesides's 95.9¢, down 3.5¢ since August 3. Whitesides leads 10.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Gibbs · Republican contract

3.6¢

▼ 3.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Jason Gibbs by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 11¢ · low 2.3¢Oct 12

Jason GibbsRepublican

3.6¢

George WhitesidesDemocratic · incumbent

95.9¢

7,597 traded · 2,346 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Gibbs v Whitesides

Metric by metric

Gibbs

Whitesides

3.6¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

95.9¢

$379.4K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$3.96M

$201.9K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$2.55M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2025

The 2026 race

California 27th District

Prior result

D+2.6

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by George Whitesides.

Fundraising

10.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.