Jacqui Irwin · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Irwin is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Irwin at 98.8¢ against Gallucci's 4.1¢, up 1¢ since August 3. Irwin leads 2.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Irwin · Democratic contract

98.8¢

▲ 1.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Jacqui Irwin by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 96¢Oct 12

Jacqui IrwinDemocratic

98.8¢

Sam GallucciRepublican

4.1¢

908 traded · 892 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Irwin v Gallucci

Metric by metric

Irwin

Gallucci

98.8¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

4.1¢

$822.4K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$377.1K

$295.5K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$33.7K

No office on file

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

California 26th District

Prior result

D+12.2

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Julia Brownley.

Fundraising

2.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.