Houston Brignano · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Brignano is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Brignano at 3.1¢ against Lieu's 99.3¢, down 2.1¢ since August 3. Lieu leads 356.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Brignano · Republican contract

3.1¢

▼ 2.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Houston Brignano by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 9¢ · low 3.1¢Oct 12

Houston BrignanoRepublican

3.1¢

Ted LieuDemocratic · incumbent

99.3¢

4,883 traded · 1,526 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Brignano v Lieu

Metric by metric

Brignano

Lieu

3.1¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

99.3¢

$5.1K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$1.83M

$801

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$1.19M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2015

The 2026 race

California 36th District

Prior result

D+37.4

2024 general election, won by Ted Lieu.

Fundraising

356.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.