Elections Intelligence

Hilda Solis

CA-38U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Solis is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Solis at 99.5¢ against Casas's 3.4¢, up 5.5¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Solis · Democratic contract
99.5¢
▲ 5.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Hilda Solis by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 94¢Oct 12
Hilda SolisDemocratic
99.5¢
Pedro Antonio CasasRepublican
3.4¢

2,447 traded · 2,163 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Solis v Casas

Metric by metric
Solis
Casas
99.5¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
3.4¢
$1.05M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
No total for Pedro Antonio Casas: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.
$154.5K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
—
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

California 38th District
Prior result
D+19.6

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Linda T. Sánchez.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.