Elections Intelligence

Helena Foulkes

RIGovernor: G under a starred pediment
CHALLENGER Likely D to Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Foulkes is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Foulkes at 97¢ against Guckian's 2.7¢, up 9¢ since July 31. The polling average has Foulkes ahead by 22.3 points, and Foulkes leads 89.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Foulkes · Democratic contract
97.0¢
▲ 9.0¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Helena Foulkes by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 98.1¢ · low 88¢Oct 12
Helena FoulkesDemocratic
97.0¢
Aaron GuckianRepublican
2.7¢
independent lineNo candidate is named on this contract.
2.0¢

29,093 traded · 18,567 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Foulkes v Guckian

Metric by metric
Foulkes
Guckian
97.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
2.7¢
$402.9K
RaisedState filings, through August 11
$4.5K
$1.77M
Cash on handState filings, through August 11
$16.2K
40%
Latest pollUNH · Aug 24
15%
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Rhode Island Governor
Polling average
D+22.3

Average of 2 pollsters, April 16 to August 24.

Prior result
D+19.1

2022 general election, won by Dan McKee.

Fundraising
89.7 to 1

Raised, through August 11.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.