Heidi Kuhn · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Kuhn is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Kuhn at 4.7¢ against Kustoff's 96¢, down 2.8¢ since August 3. Kustoff leads 53.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Kuhn · Democratic contract

4.7¢

▼ 2.8¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Heidi Kuhn by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 11¢ · low 4.1¢Oct 12

Heidi KuhnDemocratic

4.7¢

David KustoffRepublican · incumbent

96.0¢

9,553 traded · 2,258 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Kuhn v Kustoff

Metric by metric

Kuhn

Kustoff

4.7¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

96.0¢

$39.8K

RaisedFEC, through July 17

$2.14M

$13.5K

Cash on handFEC, through July 17

$3.00M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2017

The 2026 race

Tennessee 8th District

Prior result

R+46.8

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by David Kustoff.

Fundraising

53.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 17.