Elections Intelligence

Hannah Pingree

MEGovernor: G under a starred pediment
CHALLENGER Likely D to Safe DThe seat Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Pingree is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Pingree at 95.1¢ against Charles's 4.9¢, up 4.3¢ since July 31. The polling average has Pingree ahead by 11.4 points, and Pingree leads 4.7 to 1 on cash.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Pingree · Democratic contract
95.1¢
▲ 4.3¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Hannah Pingree by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 96¢ · low 90.8¢Oct 12
Hannah PingreeDemocratic
95.1¢
Robert CharlesRepublican
4.9¢

82,491 traded · 46,287 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Pingree v Charles

Metric by metric
Pingree
Charles
95.1¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
4.9¢
$854.2K
Cash on handState filings, through July 14
$179.0K
49%
Latest pollWash. Post/Schar · Oct 5
36%
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Maine Governor
Polling average
D+11.4

Average of 8 pollsters, September 14 to October 5.

Prior result
D+13.2

2022 general election, won by Janet Mills.

Fundraising
4.7 to 1

Cash on hand, July 14.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.