Elections Intelligence

Gregg Mele

NJ-12U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Mele is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Mele at 3.3¢ against Hamawy's 96.2¢, down 3.7¢ since August 3. Hamawy leads 19.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Mele · Republican contract
3.3¢
▼ 3.7¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Gregg Mele by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 8.8¢ · low 3.3¢Oct 12
Gregg MeleRepublican
3.3¢
Adam HamawyDemocratic
96.2¢

11,213 traded · 3,766 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Mele v Hamawy

Metric by metric
Mele
Hamawy
3.3¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
96.2¢
$79.4K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.53M
$3.1K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$91.9K
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

New Jersey 12th District
Prior result
D+22.5

2024 general election, won by Bonnie Watson Coleman.

Fundraising
19.3 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.