Gary J. Grossi · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Grossi is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Grossi at 4.7¢ against Trahan's 99¢, up 3.5¢ since August 3. Trahan leads 230.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Grossi · Republican contract

4.7¢

▲ 3.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Gary J. Grossi by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 6¢ · low 1.2¢Oct 12

Gary J. GrossiRepublican

4.7¢

Lori TrahanDemocratic · incumbent

99.0¢

1,988 traded · 1,295 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Grossi v Trahan

Metric by metric

Grossi

Trahan

4.7¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

99.0¢

$7.1K

RaisedFEC, through August 12

$1.64M

$5.8K

Cash on handFEC, through August 12

$1.77M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2019

The 2026 race

Massachusetts 3rd District

Prior result

D+97.5

2024 general election, won by Lori Trahan.

Fundraising

230.3 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through August 12.