Erik Osberg · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Osberg is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Osberg at 4.8¢ against Fischbach's 97.7¢, down 3.2¢ since August 3. Fischbach leads 3.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Osberg · Democratic contract

4.8¢

▼ 3.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Erik Osberg by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 9.2¢ · low 4¢Oct 12

Erik OsbergDemocratic

4.8¢

Michelle FischbachRepublican · incumbent

97.7¢

4,830 traded · 3,043 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Osberg v Fischbach

Metric by metric

Osberg

Fischbach

4.8¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.7¢

$334.9K

RaisedFEC, through July 22

$1.29M

$114.4K

Cash on handFEC, through July 22

$919.8K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2021

The 2026 race

Minnesota 7th District

Prior result

R+41.0

2024 general election, won by Michelle Fischbach.

Fundraising

3.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.