Elections Intelligence

Ed Gallrein

KY-4U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe R Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Gallrein is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Gallrein at 96.1¢ against Strange's 4.2¢, up 3.1¢ since August 3. Gallrein leads 37.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Gallrein · Republican contract
96.1¢
▲ 3.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Ed Gallrein by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 96.1¢ · low 93¢Oct 12
Ed GallreinRepublican
96.1¢
Melissa Claire StrangeDemocratic
4.2¢

42,122 traded · 15,759 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Gallrein v Strange

Metric by metric
Gallrein
Strange
96.1¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
4.2¢
$3.57M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$94.5K
$179.3K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$11.1K
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Kentucky 4th District
Prior result
R+99.2

2024 general election, won by Thomas Massie.

Fundraising
37.7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.