Drew Cox
IN-4What the Signal reads
Safe R
Cox is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Cox at 6¢ against Baird's 95.2¢, down 3.4¢ since August 3. Baird leads 17.5 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Cox · Democratic contract
6.0¢
▼ 3.4¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Drew Cox by name.
7,409 traded · 4,569 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Cox v Baird
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Indiana 4th DistrictPrior result
R+33.9
2024 general election, won by James R. Baird.
Fundraising
17.5 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.