Elections Intelligence

David Russ

OR-6U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Russ is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Russ at 3¢ against Salinas's 98.3¢, unchanged since August 3. Salinas leads 126.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Russ · Republican contract
3.0¢
Unchangedsince August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on David Russ by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 8.3¢ · low 3¢Oct 12
David RussRepublican
3.0¢
Andrea SalinasDemocratic · incumbent
98.3¢

40,678 traded · 5,265 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Russ v Salinas

Metric by metric
Russ
Salinas
3.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
98.3¢
$12.8K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.61M
$1.9K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$611.1K
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2023

The 2026 race

Oregon 6th District
Prior result
D+6.8

2024 general election, won by Andrea Salinas.

Fundraising
126.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.