David Pan · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Pan is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Pan at 3.6¢ against Correa's 97.8¢, down 5.4¢ since August 3. Correa leads 15.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Pan · Republican contract

3.6¢

▼ 5.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on David Pan by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 9.2¢ · low 3.5¢Oct 12

David PanRepublican

3.6¢

J. Luis CorreaDemocratic · incumbent

97.8¢

1,167 traded · 1,159 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Pan v Correa

Metric by metric

Pan

Correa

3.6¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.8¢

$80.7K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$1.23M

$6.2K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$2.48M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2017

The 2026 race

California 46th District

Prior result

D+26.9

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by J. Luis Correa.

Fundraising

15.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.