David Brock Smith
ORWhat the Signal reads
Safe D
Smith is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Smith at 2.3¢ against Merkley's 98¢, down 2.1¢ since July 31. Merkley leads 37.6 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Smith · Republican contract
2.3¢
▼ 2.1¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on David Brock Smith by name.
12,295 traded · 8,397 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Smith v Merkley
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Oregon U.S. SenatePrior result
D+17.6
2020 general election, won by Jeff Merkley.
Fundraising
37.6 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.