Courtney McClain · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

McClain is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has McClain at 3.9¢ against Timmons's 97.9¢, down 1.8¢ since August 3. Timmons leads 48.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

McClain · Democratic contract

3.9¢

▼ 1.8¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Courtney McClain by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 30¢ · low 3¢Oct 12

Courtney McClainDemocratic

3.9¢

William R. Timmons IVRepublican · incumbent

97.9¢

6,895 traded · 5,013 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

McClain v Timmons

Metric by metric

McClain

Timmons

3.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.9¢

$33.0K

RaisedFEC, through June 30 and September 30

$1.60M

$1.2K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30 and September 30

$77.2K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2019

The 2026 race

South Carolina 4th District

Prior result

R+22.5

2024 general election, won by William R. Timmons IV.

Fundraising

48.3 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through September 30.