Elections Intelligence

Clyde W. Jones, Jr.

AL-1U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe R Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Jones is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Jones at 3.4¢ against Carl's 98.1¢, up 0.4¢ since August 3. Carl leads 13.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Jones · Democratic contract
3.4¢
▲ 0.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Clyde W. Jones, Jr. by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 8.6¢ · low 3¢Oct 12
Clyde W. Jones, Jr.Democratic
3.4¢
Jerry CarlRepublican
98.1¢

2,688 traded · 933 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Jones v Carl

Metric by metric
Jones
Carl
3.4¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
98.1¢
$86.0K
RaisedFEC, through July 22
$1.16M
$28.0K
Cash on handFEC, through July 22
$366.6K
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Alabama 1st District
Prior result
R+56.9

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Barry Moore.

Fundraising
13.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.