Cliff Johnson · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Johnson is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Johnson at 6¢ against Kelly's 96.2¢, up 2¢ since August 3. Kelly leads 1.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Johnson · Democratic contract

6.0¢

▲ 2.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Cliff Johnson by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 7.6¢ · low 4¢Oct 12

Cliff JohnsonDemocratic

6.0¢

Trent KellyRepublican · incumbent

96.2¢

17,168 traded · 2,204 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Johnson v Kelly

Metric by metric

Johnson

Kelly

6.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

96.2¢

$551.2K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$1.00M

$149.6K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$863.7K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2015

The 2026 race

Mississippi 1st District

Prior result

R+39.6

2024 general election, won by Trent Kelly.

Fundraising

1.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.