Elections Intelligence

Claire Valdez

NY-7U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Valdez is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Valdez at 99.7¢ against Rivera's 3.4¢, up 1.7¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Valdez · Democratic contract
99.7¢
▲ 1.7¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Claire Valdez by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 98¢Oct 12
Claire ValdezDemocratic
99.7¢
Melvin RiveraRepublican
3.4¢

155 traded · 148 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Valdez v Rivera

Metric by metric
Valdez
Rivera
99.7¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
3.4¢
$1.69M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
No total for Melvin Rivera: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.
$206.8K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
—
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

New York 7th District
Prior result
D+56.1

2024 general election, won by Nydia M. Velázquez.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.