Elections Intelligence

Christian Maxwell

IL-1U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Likely D to Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Maxwell is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Maxwell at 7.1¢ against Jackson's 97¢, up 0.6¢ since August 3. Jackson leads 6.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Maxwell · Republican contract
7.1¢
▲ 0.6¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Christian Maxwell by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 9.2¢ · low 5¢Oct 12
Christian MaxwellRepublican
7.1¢
Jonathan L. JacksonDemocratic · incumbent
97.0¢

5,884 traded · 4,188 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Maxwell v Jackson

Metric by metric
Maxwell
Jackson
7.1¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
97.0¢
$63.3K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$418.3K
$33.8K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$47.2K
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2023

The 2026 race

Illinois 1st District
Prior result
D+31.7

2024 general election, won by Jonathan L. Jackson.

Fundraising
6.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.