Cheryl Riley · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Riley is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Riley at 3¢ against Raskin's 98.2¢, down 0.1¢ since August 3. Raskin leads 447.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Riley · Republican contract

3.0¢

▼ 0.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Cheryl Riley by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 4.9¢ · low 2¢Oct 12

Cheryl RileyRepublican

3.0¢

Jamie RaskinDemocratic · incumbent

98.2¢

426 traded · 412 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Riley v Raskin

Metric by metric

Riley

Raskin

3.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

98.2¢

$16.6K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$7.43M

$1.8K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$7.89M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2017

The 2026 race

Maryland 8th District

Prior result

D+56.3

2024 general election, won by Jamie Raskin.

Fundraising

447.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.